Research Papers

A formal analysis of baccarat roadmaps, hidden shoe state, and why Big Road style pattern systems fail as predictive tools.

A formal explanation of blackjack basic strategy as an expected-value optimization problem under fixed rules, limited information and legal play.

A behavioral-economics analysis of casino markers, mental accounting, risk-taking, and simulated marker default probability.

A formal paper on casino floor layouts using graph models, route-choice entropy, quadratic assignment, and player-flow simulation.

A structural-credit explanation of how casino development leverage shifts operating and valuation volatility between equity holders, lenders, landlords, and other claimants.

A formal methodology for forecasting mass-market casino drop with SARIMAX, GARCH, and a proposed Drop-at-Risk operating framework.

An empirical extension outlining real-data pathways, public legal-record strategies, and experimental designs for studying casino credit and marker behavior.

A statistical framework for interpreting drop-to-hold anomalies in VIP baccarat and high-limit blackjack using EVT, heteroskedasticity, and Bayesian updating.

A practical framework for evaluating casino offers across gaming, rooms, food, entertainment, displacement cost, and risk—not gaming theo alone.

A research-style analysis of near misses, losses disguised as wins, loss chasing, and low-friction replay in electronic gambling and gambling-like reward systems.

A research-style paper on loss chasing, near-misses, losses disguised as wins, and persistent play in electronic gambling and loot-box systems.

A formal analysis of casino profitability through expected value, house edge, variance, gambler's ruin, and simulation-based risk modeling.

A formal paper on slot-machine randomness, PRNGs, virtual reels, PAR sheets, and why modern slots do not become due.

A formal model of how near-misses, losses disguised as wins, accumulated loss, and low payment friction amplify persistent play in gambling and loot-box systems.

A research-extension note outlining real-data, legal-record, and experimental strategies for studying casino markers, repayment risk, and behavioral credit friction.

A casino-specific framework for deciding when service recovery restores trust, when it merely repairs a failure, and how to protect compliance and patron welfare.

A forensic econometric framework for table-game leakage using expected value, variance-adjusted discrepancies, residual analysis, and surveillance triangulation.