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CRA 308: Come Bet House Edge

A focused math guide to the Come bet house edge, Come-out behavior, Come points, odds, and expected loss.

CRA 308: Come Bet House Edge
Point Value
House Edge About 1.41% on the flat Come bet
Difficulty Medium
Skill Ceiling Medium

The Come bet house edge is about 1.41% on the flat bet, the same as the Pass Line. The Come bet works like a new Pass Line bet made after a table point already exists. It wins immediately on 7 or 11, loses immediately on 2, 3, or 12, and otherwise travels to a Come point.

Quick Facts

  • Come bet house edge is about 1.41%.
  • The flat Come bet has the same math as Pass Line.
  • A Come bet can be made only after a table point is established.
  • First-roll 7 or 11 wins the Come bet even though 7 may seven-out the Pass Line.
  • First-roll 2, 3, or 12 loses the Come bet.
  • If 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, or 10 rolls, the Come bet moves to that number.
  • Odds on a Come point have 0% house edge.

Plain Talk

The Come bet is Pass Line logic inserted into the middle of a hand.

That timing creates confusion. A 7 can be good for the Come bet on its first roll but bad for other established bets. A number can move the Come bet to a box while the original Pass Line point stays unchanged.

This page focuses on the house edge. For table mechanics, read Come Bet Explained. For the whole game map, use the craps guide. For broader comparison, use craps house edge.

The Wizard of Odds craps basics lists Come bet house edge, the Wizard of Odds craps appendix shows return calculations, and the Massachusetts craps rules provide regulatory context for craps wagers and procedures.

How It Works

A Come bet has its own mini come-out roll.

First Roll After Come BetCombinationsCome Bet Result
76Win
112Win
21Lose
32Lose
121Lose
4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 1024 totalBet moves to that number

If the bet moves to a number, that number becomes the Come point for that bet. It wins if that number repeats before 7. It loses if 7 arrives first.

That is the same structure as Pass Line:

Come PointWays to Roll PointWays to Roll 7Come Bet Chance to Win Before 7
4 or 103633.33%
5 or 94640.00%
6 or 85645.45%

The house edge lands at the same place as Pass Line: about 1.41%.

Craps Table Example

You have $10 on the Pass Line. The table point is 8.

You place a $10 Come bet.

The next roll is 11. Your Come bet wins $10 immediately. The Pass Line point of 8 is still on.

On the next roll, you place another $10 Come bet. The shooter rolls 5. Your Come bet travels to the 5. You can now put odds behind that Come 5.

If 5 rolls before 7, the flat Come bet wins even money and the odds pay true odds. If 7 rolls first, the Come 5 loses.

The flat Come bet cost is still about 1.41% over the long run.

From the Casino Side:

Come bets increase table workload. The base dealer must move the bet to the correct number, mark odds correctly, pay or take it in the right order, and keep it separate from Place bets on the same number.

That matters because a Come 6 and a Place 6 can sit near the same box but follow different rules and payouts. A Come bet is a contract-style traveling line bet. A Place bet is a dealer-controlled number bet.

The boxman watches correct movement and payout. Surveillance watches whether the Come bet was in the Come box before the roll.

For the casino, Come bets are low-edge but useful. They add decisions, increase total action, and encourage odds.

Common Mistakes

  • Thinking Come bets are the same as Place bets.
  • Forgetting that a first-roll 7 wins the Come bet.
  • Getting angry when that same 7 knocks down other established bets.
  • Not knowing whether Come odds are working or off on the come-out roll.
  • Adding too many Come bets for the bankroll.
  • Confusing the table point with the Come point.
  • Assuming odds remove the flat Come edge.

Hard Truth

The Come bet is clean math, but stacking Come bets can turn a low-edge idea into a high-exposure session.

FAQ

What is the Come bet house edge?

About 1.41% on the flat Come bet.

Is the Come bet the same as Pass Line?

Mathematically yes, but it starts after a table point already exists.

Can a Come bet win on 7?

Yes, if 7 rolls on the Come bet’s first roll while it is still in the Come box.

Can a Come bet lose on 7?

Yes. After it travels to a Come point, 7 makes it lose.

Do Come odds have house edge?

No. Come odds are paid at true odds, just like odds behind the Pass Line.

Is Come better than Place 6 or 8?

It depends on what you want. Come has a slightly lower flat edge overall, but Place 6/8 resolves differently and can be taken down.

Can Come bets create too much action?

Yes. Multiple Come bets with odds can expose a large part of your bankroll to one seven-out.

Deeper Insight

The Come bet is often misunderstood because it overlays one Pass Line cycle on top of another.

Players see the table point and assume every bet is now rooting for that same number. Not true. The Come bet starts fresh. Its first roll is its own come-out event. After that, it gets its own point.

From a math view, the Come bet copies the Pass Line calculation. The first-roll win/loss structure and the point-cycle structure are the same, just shifted later in the hand.

That makes the edge about 1.41%.

The real strategic issue is not whether Come is overpriced. It is not. The issue is exposure. A player using a “Come bet every roll with odds” style can build several flat bets and several odds bets. The edge may stay low, but one seven-out can clear the rack.

That is a variance problem, not a house-edge problem.

Formula / Calculation

Come Bet Win Probability ≈ 244 / 495
Come Bet Loss Probability ≈ 251 / 495

Expected Value = (244 / 495) - (251 / 495)
Expected Value = -7 / 495 ≈ -0.014141

House Edge ≈ 1.41%
RTP ≈ 98.59%

For a $15 Come bet:

Expected Loss = $15 × 1.41% ≈ $0.21 per resolved flat Come bet

With odds:

Flat Come Bet: about 1.41% house edge
Come Odds: 0% house edge
Combined edge: lower percentage, higher total dollars at risk

Formula Explanation in Plain English

The Come bet loses slightly more value than it wins back because its full cycle mirrors the Pass Line. Adding odds improves the blended price because the odds are fair, but it also puts more money on the table.

Read Come Bet Explained for table procedure, then compare with Pass Line House Edge and Don’t Come House Edge. For a wider cost view, use craps odds and craps house edge. To model multiple Come bets with odds, use the craps odds calculator and the variance simulator.

Play smart. Gambling involves real financial risk. If the game stops being entertainment, it's time to stop playing.